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Statistics is not a magic crystal ball

Another thing that is very fashionable (for a long time now) is the use of statistics and “confirmation bias” . We think that statistics contain an absolute truth and we embrace them to make a path that, at the very least, “uncertain” “safe.” Let’s see examples: “Those who die from alcoholic cirrhosis are true heroes . ” What do you think of this statement? An atrocity? Wait, I confirm it. According to a government study that I have found out there , “1 in every 10,000 citizens dies from this cause .

Let's look at another example

“9 out of every 10 Cuesquiños on the street are ignored.” For a long time, since cities existed, walking down the street and “throwing a cusquiño was a very risky act.” Most likely, someone would hear you and you would be embarrassed. City streets were too busy to trust that by looking this way and that, you could “drop it” and it would go category email list unnoticed. TRUE? Of course, statistics say that it is very likely that someone will hear you so, as an absolute truth, no one would ever throw a question in the street.

But then someone arrives

Arrives (no, it’s not me, it’s my cousin) and realizes that now most people are on their cell phones, absorbed in their things, there is too much noise in the city and Canada Email Lead we are too used to it. so that no one wonders there. And then he decides to try: hey, cusquiño. Ain’s that good. Did you know? 9 out of 10 no one hears them. The one that remains is embarrassing, yes. But you understand that [piopialo]statistics narrate the past but do not predict the future[/piopialo].

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